...on human nature and the market, including a call for restraint on mindless regulation...
Today we very briefly focus on the dynamics we have observed in the US Treasury Yield Curve between two critical dates: 1. The Yield Curve at 30 September 2013 - The day before the US government shutdown officially began 2. Friday 11 October 2013, exactly 11 days into the White House, Congress and Senate stand-off … Continue reading US Treasury Yield Curve – The Shutdown Analysis (Part 1)
The problem of getting too distracted by constantly fire-fighting in business settings We might have heard it referred to as phrases such as "blinkered vision, short-term thinking", possibly even "tunnel vision" or something similar; however the challenges of Immediacy is (1) the hidden cost and (2) damage it does to our organisations and culture within those … Continue reading Immediacy – Analysing the Behavioural Dimensions
Cost control and the Inverse Relationship with the (Learning) Experience Curve
...picking our way through Opportunity Cost and choice...
It is a timing thing When the Euro zone Debt driven financial crises - yes, it has been dragging on for a little while now; lurching from one convulsion to the next tremor - is headline news across most traditional newspapers in Britain, it is worth pausing briefly to consider the overall 'management efforts' of … Continue reading An orderly leap into Chaos?
We take a brief look at two interesting Treasury Yield curves today. The first Yield Curve takes a snapshot view of the yield curves at the end of Q1 2011 and Q1 2012. What is very noticeable is the fact that the overall yields for the end of Q1 2012 is significantly lower than a … Continue reading The Return of Risk?
With apologies to The Smiths; the original version of the song Panic’s lyrics reads something like this: “Panic on the streets of London / Panic on the streets of Birmingham / I wonder to myself / Could life ever be sane again?” Or is this the beginning of what we will call ‘Austerity Anarchy’? As … Continue reading Panic in the Cars of Britain?
Trust, due diligence and an investor's duty to assess their own risk appetite and profile should be the ingredients for Trust...here we highlight the basics of Trust
In yesterday’s article, “Where will all the new money come from?” we concluded the brief analysis with the Sovereign Debt Maturity profiles (otherwise known as the Debt Structure) of both the USA and Italy, noting how similar the two profiles looked at first glance. Digging a bit deeper today, we would like to compare those … Continue reading The BIG Sovereign Debt Structure cliff – Part 1
Today’s brief analysis of US Treasury Yield curves and the Debt profiles of both the USA and Italy highlights the enduring question in the title of this post. The first graphic highlights one important issue. We chose 2 August 2011 versus 17 February 2012 as key dates to compare the US Treasury Yield curve. If … Continue reading Where will all the new money come from?
How to compete fairly and openly. [Part of our ‘The Trouble with Innovation series 1,2,3,4,5 – Part 6]Doing business anywhere, anytime is never easy! That is a stark commercial reality, that most business people will accept as a given. But how? now? does is work in a climate of AUSTERITY??? (Apologies for the blatant confusion and … Continue reading A new Commercial Reality under Austerity
Are the European and more specifically the Euro-zone problems purely a matter of cultural differences, engrained in generations of ‘Nation Staters’ or something deeper in each nation-people’s psychology? It cannot purely be a difference of political ideology between the leaders and individual nations of Europe that has lead us to the brink of the … Continue reading A matter of CULTURE or PSYCHOLOGY in Europe?
The team at theMarketSoul have not been busy enough putting blog article out during January 2012; however, it has given us the opportunity to reflect on the goings on in the various regions around the globe. The themes of this article are: Taxation Collaboration The USA The only great point of interest was the State … Continue reading Reflections on January 2012
We pick up from the introductory article by expanding on the issue of MORE Europe, which we did not cover in enough depth. More Europe It is without a shadow of doubt that belonging to an enlarged common market has huge beneficial advantages to all its participants. However, the question of the Cost / Benefit … Continue reading More and Bigger Europe –Part 2 – It is MORE…
Adding further value to our conversation on The Market eQuation we introduce the concept of the: RISKed RETURN on MARKET (RdROM) today on 11.11.11. RISKed RETURN on MARKET adds a counter balance to the Efficient Market Hypothesis and Rational Market Theory, Black Scholes and CAPM, amongst others. More detail to follow in due course... theMarketSoul ©2011
Irrespective of how the twists and turns of the Greek political system plays out over the next few days and weeks, we believe that the Big EU (Eurozone more specifically) players and their leaders only have themselves to blame for Greece's seemingly petulant behaviour. If at the fundamental level we cannot understand that ANY form … Continue reading The Big Design: Moral Hazard, and the EU
Today we are reposting a blog article originally posted in April 2010. We believe the sentiments are still valid and should resonate across the various crises we are experiencing currently. Please click on the link below: https://themarketsoul.com/2010/04/25/221/ theMarketSoul © 2011 Related articles Synthesizers wanted...to cross the crises divide... (themarketsoul.com) How industries react to crises (scripting.com)
On reflection, the ‘mechanism’ established to rescue or save the Euro is indicative of the fact that we still understand very little and can control and short-circuit systems to some extent, yet we think we value everything. Inflation, and dare we state it openly, serious inflation of double-digit proportions must now surely be back on … Continue reading Do we value everything and understand nothing?
Today (26 October 2011) is an important watershed date (or not) for Europe. Will our leaders and the politicians be able to agree an all encompassing Framework to rescue the Euro, or will we need to think about a more modular approach for the future? We believe that it might be in the Euro's short-term … Continue reading Frameworks, frameworks, frameworks…