Technical Default Options – US Government Shutdown Analysis (Part2)

The real challenge and issue: The US Debt default that is looming ever larger with each passing day that the US Congress, Senate and White House seem to treat as a brinkmanship fatigue challenge will have a specific default structure or process attached to it, that the rest of the world needs to get to … Continue reading Technical Default Options – US Government Shutdown Analysis (Part2)

A new Commercial Reality under Austerity

How to compete fairly and openly.  [Part of our ‘The Trouble with Innovation series 1,2,3,4,5 – Part 6]Doing business anywhere, anytime is never easy! That is a stark commercial reality, that most business people will accept as a given.  But how? now? does is work in a climate of AUSTERITY??? (Apologies for the blatant confusion and … Continue reading A new Commercial Reality under Austerity

More and Confused Europe? – Part 3 – It is Uncertain…

Continuing the conversation and analysis on the ‘fall-out’ of the British Veto being exercised at the most recent EU Leaders (crisis) summit, it is interesting to observe two specific angles to this: Innovation Our article on ‘Recapitalising Europe’ kicked off the discussion around Innovation. It appears that the leaders of Europe (a summary of Angela … Continue reading More and Confused Europe? – Part 3 – It is Uncertain…

The Big Design: Moral Hazard, and the EU

Irrespective of how the twists and turns of the Greek political system plays out over the next few days and weeks, we believe that the Big EU (Eurozone more specifically) players and their leaders only have themselves to blame for Greece's seemingly petulant behaviour. If at the fundamental level we cannot understand that ANY form … Continue reading The Big Design: Moral Hazard, and the EU

Do we value everything and understand nothing?

On reflection, the ‘mechanism’ established to rescue or save the Euro is indicative of the fact that we still understand very little and can control and short-circuit systems to some extent, yet we think we value everything. Inflation, and dare we state it openly, serious inflation of double-digit proportions must now surely be back on … Continue reading Do we value everything and understand nothing?

Recapitalising Europe

Forget about recapitalising the French Banks, saving Greece, (or the Euro)…. Continuing our conversation on Innovation Yes, we admit it! The headline statement above is all about grabbing your attention.  We are not advocating any disorderly default crises. What we believe is that the ‘agricultural’ economic base and the semi-integration of Europe, via market and monetary … Continue reading Recapitalising Europe

Crafting the Cynical Generation?

...continuing our conversation in the Economics of Taxation series (part 2)   A European Generation ‘E’ enquiry – (‘E’ for employment) Referring to our previous article entitled ‘The Economics of Taxation’, today we elaborate and flesh out the basic ideas around taxation. The basic idea is that any form of taxation becomes a drain on … Continue reading Crafting the Cynical Generation?

US Treasuries – An FX or a market call?

So it has finally happened. After threatening for months that a credit rating down grade was probable for the USA, Standard & Poor's finally took the 'big step' on Friday 5 August, after the major markets closed. So what next? In our article 'US Treasuries - Are the markets really that bothered?' published on 30 July 2011, … Continue reading US Treasuries – An FX or a market call?

The US Treasury Yield Curves – Are the markets really that bothered?

  As a general introduction today we will look at two US Treasury Yield curves.  The first Yield curve in the Curve graphic 1 below is the 3 Month bills compared to the 10 Year bills over the last 5 years. Yield Curve 1 In this table it is clear that the current 10 Year … Continue reading The US Treasury Yield Curves – Are the markets really that bothered?

A Storm in a ‘Tea’ cup

Never resist the temptation to start a discussion with a pun. In our previous article we highlighted the ‘battle royal’ on Capitol Hill to get a proposal agreed to address the possibility of a US Treasury default, whether actual or technical on or after 2 August 2011. So the Republicans could not muster together enough … Continue reading A Storm in a ‘Tea’ cup

Random Collisions of Chance

Chance and spontaneity are two interesting phenomenon required for innovation and creativity. We were reminded of this in an interview recorded of a LinkedIn executive recently*.  He stated that chance encounters are "where we make some of our most significant connections", be it your life partner, business associates, etc. and that speeding up those chance … Continue reading Random Collisions of Chance

Continuing conversations in Friction Costs: Increased Friction Costs II

A few weeks ago we published what seems like our most popular blog article to date, namely Increased Friction Costs. As it has been our most read article, we thought we might continue to build on the theme of Economic Friction Cost.   Williamson (1993) published some work on Transaction Cost Economics (TCE) in a book … Continue reading Continuing conversations in Friction Costs: Increased Friction Costs II

Risk Management Ideas

Risk has as one of its essential elements TRUST as a foundation. Trust on the other hand has many other factors that interplay and interact on it. Markets are created when there are needs that are not immediately met from you local environment and therefore scarcity exists.  Market participants step in to fill this 'needs' … Continue reading Risk Management Ideas

The Morass of Mediocrity

We link today’s article to one of our main themes on our home page, namely the ‘Battle against the Status Quo’, or as per the title of this posting, ‘The Morass of Mediocrity’.   The underlying intent and theme is that of competition and competitive behaviours and the difference between rules based and principles based … Continue reading The Morass of Mediocrity

Commentary on newly proposed UK Financial Regulation

Commentary on the new powers and tools of the Bank of England as announced by George Osborne during his first Mansion House address

Sustainability I

The focus on sustainability and sustainable practices is a self defeating objective.  Sustainability means that business leaders take their eye off the equity holder’s value creation ideal, as it flies in the face of self-interest as promoted by Adam Smith some 234 years ago (The Wealth of Nations , 1776). Self-interest and the pursuit therefore is being … Continue reading Sustainability I

Short-sighted: Actor behaviour in the market for competitiveness

Competition has to be guided, controlled and focussed. How do we manage this process and in addition attract talent to sustain organisations deep into the 21st Century?

Does Law inform or enforce culture?

If ‘the Law’ is the codification of cultural norms and practices, does the Law then not inform culture? Policy, social malice and engineering of social outcomes bend these laws into legislative blunt instruments designed to enforce cultural behavioural changes on a grand scale, trouncing the common law of good judgment, neighbourly relations and common sense … Continue reading Does Law inform or enforce culture?