Expectations: Mis-sold

We are picking up on a theme we have been experiencing and confirmed by this HBR article  published in 2012: Job and Career seeker’s unfulfilled EXPECTATIONS   The word expectation has several meanings, amongst them words like hope, belief, prospect and even probability.  It is interesting that if you were to consider these four other … Continue reading Expectations: Mis-sold

Moral Hazard PLUS – Part 2

Part 2 - Revelations   In part 1 of this article we focused on the economic cycles and the underlying drivers for future Moral Hazard risks. In today's edition we will dwell a little on the revelations 2014 brought about in a series of disclosures and financial regulatory deals concluded.  As Tony Robinson put is so eloquently … Continue reading Moral Hazard PLUS – Part 2

Technical Default Options – US Government Shutdown Analysis (Part2)

The real challenge and issue: The US Debt default that is looming ever larger with each passing day that the US Congress, Senate and White House seem to treat as a brinkmanship fatigue challenge will have a specific default structure or process attached to it, that the rest of the world needs to get to … Continue reading Technical Default Options – US Government Shutdown Analysis (Part2)

The Value of the Synthesist (as opposed to the Analyst)

A walk back in time. #Thoughts from 2010. The #Value of #Synthesis versus #Analysis. #Tyranny and #Innovation

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We had some very rewarding conversations recently with business partners and peers regarding the Value of Synthesis versus Analysis.

Synthesis we believe to be a ‘higher level’ skill and experience set than traditional analysis.  Synthesis requires a natural ‘incubation period’.  Very few people are natural ‘synthesists’.  You grow and mature into a ‘natural Synthisist’.

Analysts can be taught.  In fact a very lucrative business education industrial complex has been built on the back of ‘creating a production line of analysts’.  We call them Business Schools churning out master’s level analysts with the three-letter MBA title behind their names.

Don’t get us wrong on this one.  We are not criticising MBAs or the Business Schools that produce them.  Far from it; because we believe that part of the ‘evolutionary process’ of ‘incubating a mature synthesist’ is having a deep and fundamental understanding of analysis and the factors that contribute to making…

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The Kuznets swing and the market for labour and skills

The changing way labour and skills markets operate and are being disrupted by on-line exchanges and cloud computing 'enablement' technologies

Pony ponderings…

Have you ever overheard a small debate between children related to #economics? Some at theMarketSoul (c)1999 -2013 find themselves in Spain this weekend, relaxing with family and the following conversation between young siblings are worth repeating. In some bizarre way, it relates to labour economics and the minimum wage: We had just observed a single horse … Continue reading Pony ponderings…

An orderly leap into Chaos?

It is a timing thing When the Euro zone Debt driven financial crises - yes, it has been dragging on for a little while now; lurching from one convulsion to the next tremor - is headline news across most traditional newspapers in Britain, it is worth pausing briefly to consider the overall 'management efforts' of … Continue reading An orderly leap into Chaos?

Some Questions for Europe

After the conclusion to what some pundits called a ‘tumultuous week’ for Europe (week ending 11 May 2012), we still find ourselves asking some important questions. We all know that the question is not around what growth, where growth or why growth.  The fundamental question in Europe now is: How Growth? For way too long … Continue reading Some Questions for Europe

Panic in the Cars of Britain?

With apologies to The Smiths; the original version of the song Panic’s lyrics reads something like this: “Panic on the streets of London / Panic on the streets of Birmingham / I wonder to myself / Could life ever be sane again?” Or is this the beginning of what we will call ‘Austerity Anarchy’? As … Continue reading Panic in the Cars of Britain?

The BIG Sovereign Debt Structure cliff – Part 1

In yesterday’s article, “Where will all the new money come from?” we concluded the brief analysis with the Sovereign Debt Maturity profiles (otherwise known as the Debt Structure) of both the USA and Italy, noting how similar the two profiles looked at first glance. Digging a bit deeper today, we would like to compare those … Continue reading The BIG Sovereign Debt Structure cliff – Part 1

Where will all the new money come from?

Today’s brief analysis of US Treasury Yield curves and the Debt profiles of both the USA and Italy highlights the enduring question in the title of this post. The first graphic highlights one important issue.  We chose 2 August 2011 versus 17 February 2012 as key dates to compare the US Treasury Yield curve.  If … Continue reading Where will all the new money come from?

A matter of CULTURE or PSYCHOLOGY in Europe?

Are the European and more specifically the Euro-zone problems purely a matter of cultural differences, engrained in generations of ‘Nation Staters’ or something deeper in each nation-people’s psychology?   It cannot purely be a difference of political ideology between the leaders and individual nations of Europe that has lead us to the brink of the … Continue reading A matter of CULTURE or PSYCHOLOGY in Europe?

Irony and Downgrade Anger

It is with a little amusement that we scanned through the Economic headlines today, following Standard & Poor’s decision to finally downgrade France’s and other Eurozone nation’s Sovereign Debt rating.  France lost its prestigious triple A (AAA) grade to AA+. Sarkozy and French anger?  Indeed! Off course the irony is that an “outsider market agency” … Continue reading Irony and Downgrade Anger

Our Lessons from 2011

  We decided to summarise our learning from 2011 into two brief thoughts:   The pains and strains of the economic sovereign debt melt-down in 2011, should stand us in good stead to deal with even more debt and sovereign strain in 2012, as More and Bigger Europe continue to miss the point; this being … Continue reading Our Lessons from 2011

Core Values

As we wind down 2011 we have entered the ‘reflective season’, where due to the structure of the Gregorian calendar and the very long(est) night of the year (in the Northern Hemisphere), we naturally enter a more introspective mood. Therefore, as we become more contemplative during this time, let’s reflect on our Core Values, both … Continue reading Core Values